Intrinsiqq
RAYONIER INC logoRayonier IncRYN
$18.40-2.18%
RAYONIER INC logo

Rayonier Inc

RYN

$18.40

-$0.41 (-2.18%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityThin marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowN/AValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

17.20% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 2.66%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 51.0% YoY. Margins deteriorated 19.7pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.

What deserves caution

Free cash flow declined 22% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 9.16% to 2.66%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.

Valuation context

6.1x earnings, 38.5x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

-25.5%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$5.48B
EPS$3.00
P/E6.13
P/FCF38.46
EV/EBITDA182.99
FCF Yield2.6%
Div. Yield4.80%
Net Debt/FCF—
52-Week Range
$17.99$24.67

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$678M

▼ -51.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$465M

▲ +32.1% YoY

Op. Margin

5.55%

▼ -19.7pp YoY

ROIC

0.68%

▼ -6.5pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (FY)

$142M

▼ -21.7% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$264M

▼ -1.9% YoY

Net Debt

$1.41B

Cash & Equiv.

$682M

5Y CAGR: -10.8%

5Y CAGR: +0.7%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 8 May 2026, covering the period ending 31 Mar 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 17 Sept 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Rayonier (RYN) overvalued?

At a P/E of 6.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 38.5, Rayonier (RYN) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $4.13 per share, so at $18.40 the stock looks overvalued (77.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Rayonier scores 21/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 4.8%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Rayonier's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $4.13 per share for RYN, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $3.10. At today's $18.40, that puts the stock about 77.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Rayonier a high-quality business?+

Rayonier scores 21 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 5.5% operating margin and a 0.7% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Rayonier (RYN) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Rayonier pays a regular dividend of about $1.03 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 4.8% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 56.5% of earnings, so the dividend is well covered. Rayonier has grown the dividend at roughly 17.4% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For RYN's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Rayonier a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. RYN currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 21/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 4.8%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

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Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in RYN's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.