On24 Inc. (ONTF) DCF Valuation
Every assumption below is yours to change. The defaults are derived from this company's own filing history, not from a house view.
Conservative
$4.49
0% undervaluedvs $0.00
Base
$6.30
0% undervaluedvs $0.00
Optimistic
$9.32
0% undervaluedvs $0.00
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Base free cash flow
$4M
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
+19.5%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
—
No solution in range
Terminal value share
68%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
No growth rate in the tested range reproduces today's price at these assumptions.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is +19.5% a year.
On24 (ONTF) DCF: intrinsic value and margin of safety
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF values On24 (ONTF) at about $8.40 per share, or $6.30 with a 25% margin of safety. Every assumption is adjustable below; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is On24's (ONTF) fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of about $8.40 per share for ONTF. It projects recent free cash flow forward at a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate, then discounts those cash flows back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $6.30. The output moves with the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best read as a range, not a single number. You can change every assumption with the sliders on this tab.
What growth is priced into On24?+
The base case grows ONTF's free cash flow at about 19.5% a year before fading, against roughly 19.5% historical free-cash-flow growth. If the price implies growth well above what the company has actually delivered, the market is paying for optimism; if below, expectations are modest. Adjust the growth assumption on this tab to see what the current price is really betting on.
What is a good margin of safety for On24?+
A margin of safety is the discount to intrinsic value you demand before buying, to protect against being wrong on the inputs. Intrinsiqq applies 25% by default, which turns ONTF's $8.40 intrinsic estimate into a $6.30 entry. Wider margins suit less predictable businesses; you can set your own on this tab. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 12 Mar 2026, covering the period ending 31 Dec 2025, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 8 Jun 2026. How this is calculated.
Fiscal year ends Dec.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.