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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$5897.25
Intrinsic $7863.00 · 25% MOS
Current price: $5773.52
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Nvr Inc (NVR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 0.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.2B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $7863.00 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $5897.25, suggesting the stock is currently 2% undervalued against the $5773.52 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.2B
Cash & equivalents
$1.7B
Total debt
$41M
Shares outstanding
3M