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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$32.62
Intrinsic $43.49 · 25% MOS
Current price: $67.93
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 427.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $100M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $43.49 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $32.62, suggesting the stock is currently 52% overvalued against the $67.93 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$100M
Cash & equivalents
$95M
Total debt
$960M
Shares outstanding
96M