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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$2.13
Intrinsic $2.84 · 25% MOS
Current price: $84.72
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Astronics Corp (ATRO) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.2% for years 1–5 and 2.1% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $24M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $2.84 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $2.13, suggesting the stock is currently 97% overvalued against the $84.72 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$24M
Cash & equivalents
$12M
Total debt
$379M
Shares outstanding
38M