Intrinsiqq
Kaspi.kz JSC ADR logoKaspi.kz JSC ADRKSPI
$90.46-3.26%
Kaspi.kz JSC ADR logo

Kaspi.kz JSC ADR

KSPI

$90.46

-$3.05 (-3.26%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityStrong marginsGrowthAcceleratingCash FlowStrong conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 32.61% operating margin, ROIC at 43.28%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.

What's changing

Revenue grew 59.8%, still solid. Margins contracted 17.8pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 67.16% to 43.28%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Operating margin contracted 17.8pp YoY, cost discipline may be slipping.

Valuation context

7.3x earnings, 8.1x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

+25.4%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market CapKZT 7.73T
EPSKZT 5,568.06
P/E7.28
P/FCF8.11
EV/EBITDA3.80
FCF Yield12.3%
Div. Yield4.22%
Net Debt/FCF-1.7x
52-Week Range
$68.84$108.75

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

KZT 4.40T

▲ +59.8% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

KZT 1.07T

▲ +1.0% YoY

Op. Margin

36.37%

▼ -17.8pp YoY

ROIC

43.28%

▼ -23.9pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

KZT 952.97B

▲ +1.0% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

KZT 1.15T

▲ +15.9% YoY

Net Debt

-KZT 1.59T

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

KZT 2.06T

3Y CAGR: +47.5%

3Y CAGR: -20.1%

Continue Research

Is Kaspi.kz JSC ADR (KSPI) overvalued?

At a P/E of 7.3 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 8.1, Kaspi.kz JSC ADR (KSPI) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about KZT 260,525.99 per share, so at KZT 90.46 the stock looks undervalued (287,901.3% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Kaspi.kz JSC ADR scores 70/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 4.2%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Kaspi.kz JSC ADR's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about KZT 260,525.99 per share for KSPI, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around KZT 195,394.49. At today's KZT 90.46, that puts the stock about 287,901.3% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Kaspi.kz JSC ADR a high-quality business?+

Kaspi.kz JSC ADR scores 70 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 36.4% operating margin and a 43.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Kaspi.kz JSC ADR (KSPI) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Kaspi.kz JSC ADR pays a regular dividend of about KZT 1,709.36 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 4.2% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 30.6% of earnings, so the dividend is amply covered by earnings. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For KSPI's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Kaspi.kz JSC ADR a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. KSPI currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 70/100 on quality (solid). It also yields about 4.2%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Software - Infrastructure

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.