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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$121.48
Intrinsic $161.97 · 25% MOS
Current price: $129.50
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for JBT MAREL Corp (JBTM) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 12.8% for years 1–5 and 6.4% for years 6–10, anchored to 12.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $317M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $161.97 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $121.48, suggesting the stock is currently 6% overvalued against the $129.50 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$317M
Cash & equivalents
$230M
Total debt
$2.3B
Shares outstanding
52M