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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$60.19
Intrinsic $80.25 · 25% MOS
Current price: $74.32
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for PENTAIR plc (PNR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 5.3% for years 1–5 and 2.7% for years 6–10, anchored to 5.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $716M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $80.25 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $60.19, suggesting the stock is currently 19% overvalued against the $74.32 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$716M
Cash & equivalents
$68M
Total debt
$2.1B
Shares outstanding
164M