DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$254.97
Intrinsic $339.96 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Ingredion Inc (INGR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 37.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $449M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $339.96 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $254.97.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$449M
Cash & equivalents
$918M
Total debt
$1.8B
Shares outstanding
64M