Intrinsiqq
HMH Holding Inc. logoHMH Holding Inc.HMH
$18.85-1.36%
HMH Holding Inc. logo

HMH Holding Inc.

HMH

$18.85

$0.26 (-1.36%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

11.11% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 4.99%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 2.6% YoY. Margins deteriorated 2.9pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 7.98% to 4.99%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.

Valuation context

6.9x earnings, 14.1x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

-2.2%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$913M
EPS$2.75
P/E6.87
P/FCF14.11
EV/EBITDA7.78
FCF Yield7.1%
Div. Yield
Net Debt/FCF2.0x
52-Week Range
$16.89$24.26

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$795M

-2.6% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$33M

-32.3% YoY

Op. Margin

11.48%

-2.9pp YoY

ROIC

4.99%

-3.0pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$65M

+336.8% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$82M

+202.2% YoY

Net Debt

$130M

Cash & Equiv.

$117M

Continue Research

Is HMH Holding (HMH) overvalued?

At a P/E of 6.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 14.1, HMH Holding (HMH) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $64.74 per share, so at $18.85 the stock looks undervalued (243.5% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, HMH Holding scores 39/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is HMH Holding's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $64.74 per share for HMH, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $48.56. At today's $18.85, that puts the stock about 243.5% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is HMH Holding a high-quality business?+

HMH Holding scores 39 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 11.5% operating margin and a 5.0% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is HMH Holding a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. HMH currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 39/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

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