Intrinsiqq
Green Brick Partners Inc. logoGreen Brick Partners Inc.GRBK
$60.68-2.11%
Green Brick Partners Inc. logo

Green Brick Partners Inc.

GRBK

$60.68

-$1.31 (-2.11%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 20.07% operating margin, ROIC at 15.12%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.

What's changing

Revenue declined 1.0% YoY. Margins deteriorated 3.1pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 21.04% to 15.12%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Operating margin contracted 3.1pp YoY, cost discipline may be slipping.

Valuation context

9.1x earnings, 23.4x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

-11.6%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$2.61B
EPS$6.64
P/E9.14
P/FCF23.38
EV/EBITDA7.34
FCF Yield4.3%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF1.0x
52-Week Range
$60.12$80.59

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$1.97B

▼ -1.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$291M

▼ -17.9% YoY

Op. Margin

18.59%

▼ -3.1pp YoY

ROIC

12.84%

▼ -5.9pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$112M

▲ +867.4% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$117M

▲ +723.0% YoY

Net Debt

$113M

Cash & Equiv.

$132M

5Y CAGR: +15.9%

5Y CAGR: +45.3%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 23 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 12 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Green Brick Partners (GRBK) overvalued?

At a P/E of 9.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 23.4, Green Brick Partners (GRBK) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $53.98 per share, so at $60.68 the stock looks overvalued (11.0% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Green Brick Partners scores 63/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Green Brick Partners's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $53.98 per share for GRBK, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $40.49. At today's $60.68, that puts the stock about 11.0% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Green Brick Partners a high-quality business?+

Green Brick Partners scores 63 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 18.6% operating margin and a 12.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Green Brick Partners a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. GRBK currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 63/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Operative Builders

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in GRBK's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.