Intrinsiqq
GDEV Inc. logoGDEV Inc.GDEV
$10.89+4.05%
GDEV Inc. logo

GDEV Inc.

GDEV

$10.89

+$0.42 (+4.05%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityStrong marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowN/AValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

17.59% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 5532.50%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 3.9% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.

What deserves caution

Even for strong businesses, today's 3x P/E means the stock needs to keep delivering. There's no margin of safety if growth disappoints.

Valuation context

2.5x earnings, 6.9x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

-53.0%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$201M
EPS$4.29
P/E2.54
P/FCF6.91
EV/EBITDA1.08
FCF Yield14.5%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF—
52-Week Range
$10.47$24.71

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$389M

▼ -3.9% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$78M

▲ +171.5% YoY

Op. Margin

21.34%

▲ +8.0pp YoY

ROIC

5532.50%

▲ +3691.4pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (FY)

$29M

▲ +3.7% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (FY)

$29M

▲ +3.2% YoY

Net Debt

-$103M

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

$104M

3Y CAGR: -5.5%

3Y CAGR: -36.7%

Continue Research

Is GDEV (GDEV) overvalued?

At a P/E of 2.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 6.9, GDEV (GDEV) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $32.92 per share, so at $10.89 the stock looks undervalued (202.3% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, GDEV scores 55/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is GDEV's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $32.92 per share for GDEV, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $24.69. At today's $10.89, that puts the stock about 202.3% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is GDEV a high-quality business?+

GDEV scores 55 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 21.3% operating margin and a 5,532.5% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is GDEV a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. GDEV currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 55/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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