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Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust Intrinsic Value

FXB

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Choose a model

Each card values Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Set your assumptions

Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust on earnings: earnings per share grow for a few years, then the stock trades at a normal price-to-earnings multiple.

Years to project

Growth of earnings per share

Earnings per share; starts at its own recent growth

Exit P/E

Starts at the average of its 5-year median P/E, today's and a mature 18

Your desired return

Margin of safety

More

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

  1. Today's earnings per share

    Diluted, last twelve months, as filed

    $2.81

  2. Earnings in 2031

    Grows 20.0% a year for 5 years

    $6.99

  3. Price in 2031

    $6.99 × 30.0 P/E

    $209.77

  4. Worth today

    ÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out

    $130.25

  5. Plus dividends

    $25.90 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way

    + $18.97

  6. Fair value

    The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year

    $149.22

  7. Buy below

    Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety

    $111.91

Paying $129.38 instead gives 12.7% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$149.22

Expected return

12.7% a year

Future price, 2031

$209.77

Buy below

$111.91

Price 13% below fair valuePrice $129.38, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for FXB; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust's (FXB) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust's fair value is about $149.22 a share, based on its earnings per share. That assumes earnings per share of $2.81 grows about 20.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 30.0 times earnings, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: revenue $101.24, dividends $218.87. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust overvalued?+

At $129.38, the price is 13% below that fair value of $149.22, and buying at today's price would return about 12.7% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust valuation assume?+

Earnings per share grows about 20.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise), capped at 20%. The exit multiple starts at a default.

What is a good margin of safety for Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $111.91. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

How the market compares: US profitability statistics

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Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in FXB's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.