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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$29.97
Intrinsic $39.96 · 25% MOS
Current price: $57.01
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Exponent Inc (EXPO) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $113M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $39.96 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $29.97, suggesting the stock is currently 47% overvalued against the $57.01 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$113M
Cash & equivalents
$119M
Total debt
$81M
Shares outstanding
50M