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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$66.91
Intrinsic $89.22 · 25% MOS
Current price: $30.45
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 53.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $32M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $89.22 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $66.91, suggesting the stock is currently 120% undervalued against the $30.45 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$32M
Cash & equivalents
$12M
Total debt
$164M
Shares outstanding
16M