Choose a model
Each card values Exact Sciences a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Exact Sciences on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its industry's median P/S
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$17.01
Revenue in 2031
Grows 13.3% a year for 5 years
$31.76
Price in 2031
$31.76 × 2.4 P/S
$76.22
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$47.33
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$47.33
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$35.49
Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$47.33
Expected return
Set a buy price
Future price, 2031
$76.22
Buy below
$35.49
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Build your own intrinsic value for Exact Sciences Corp. Start from three cases based on the company's own filings, then change any number to match your view.
Conservative
$49.49
Buy below $37.12 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Base
$90.64
Buy below $67.98 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Optimistic
$180.55
Buy below $135.41 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Where today's price sits
The three intrinsic values, without a price to compare them with.
Base free cash flow
$357M
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
+123.6%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
–
Needs a comparable price
Terminal value share
69%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
No growth rate in the tested range reproduces today's price at these assumptions.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is +123.6% a year.
Exact Sciences (EXAS) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Exact Sciences's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for EXAS; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Exact Sciences's (EXAS) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Exact Sciences's fair value is about $47.33 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $17.01 grows about 13.3% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 2.4 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: free cash flow $49.43. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
What growth does the Exact Sciences valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 13.3% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.
What is a good margin of safety for Exact Sciences?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $35.49. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 12 Feb 2026, covering the period ending 31 Dec 2025, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 25 Sept 2026. How this is calculated.
Fiscal year ends Dec.
Peers
Services-Medical Laboratories · Pick stocks to compare with EXAS
Held by ETFs
EXAS is in 1 US ETF. The largest of them, with EXAS's weight in each:
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in EXAS's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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