Intrinsiqq
Ero Copper Corp. logoEro Copper Corp.ERO
C$44.99-2.72%
Ero Copper Corp. logo

Ero Copper Corp.

ERO

C$44.99

-C$1.26 (-2.72%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityStrong marginsGrowthAcceleratingCash FlowStrong conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 33.99% operating margin, ROIC at 15.49%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.

What's changing

Revenue up 67.1% YoY with margins expanding 8.8pp.

What deserves caution

Net debt of $527M represents 4.7x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.

Valuation context

10.7x earnings, 19.8x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

+55.0%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$3.39B
EPS$3.00
P/E10.69
P/FCF19.78
EV/EBITDA7.45
FCF Yield5.1%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF3.1x
52-Week Range
C$28.03C$55.86

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$1.04B

▲ +67.1% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$315M

▲ +493.7% YoY

Op. Margin

36.15%

▲ +8.8pp YoY

ROIC

15.49%

▲ +9.3pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$172M

▲ +158.6% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$470M

▲ +3025.4% YoY

Net Debt

$527M

Cash & Equiv.

$105M

3Y CAGR: +22.6%

Continue Research

Is Ero Copper (ERO) overvalued?

At a P/E of 10.7 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 19.8, Ero Copper (ERO) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $23.11 per share, so at $44.99 the stock looks overvalued (48.6% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Ero Copper scores 70/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Ero Copper's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $23.11 per share for ERO, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $17.33. At today's $44.99, that puts the stock about 48.6% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Ero Copper a high-quality business?+

Ero Copper scores 70 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 36.2% operating margin and a 15.5% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Ero Copper a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. ERO currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 70/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Copper

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.