Related stocks: Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
/
Related stocks: Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$5.95
Intrinsic $7.93 · 25% MOS
Current price: $45.57
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Csx Corp (CSX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.9B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $7.93 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $5.95, suggesting the stock is currently 87% overvalued against the $45.57 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.9B
Cash & equivalents
$1.1B
Total debt
$19.3B
Shares outstanding
1.9B