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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$257.21
Intrinsic $342.95 · 25% MOS
Current price: $270.70
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Csw Industrials, Inc. (CSW) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 19.9% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 19.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $132M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $342.95 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $257.21, suggesting the stock is currently 5% overvalued against the $270.70 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$132M
Cash & equivalents
$34M
Total debt
$947M
Shares outstanding
17M