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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$8.20
Intrinsic $10.93 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Coty Inc. (COTY) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 16.5% for years 1–5 and 8.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 16.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $311M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $10.93 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $8.20.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$311M
Cash & equivalents
$257M
Total debt
$3.4B
Shares outstanding
880M