Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€43.80
Intrinsic €58.40 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Caltagirone S.p.A. (CALT.XMIL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 8.2% for years 1–5 and 4.1% for years 6–10, anchored to 8.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €256M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €58.40 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €43.80.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€256M
Cash & equivalents
€845M
Total debt
€280M
Shares outstanding
120M