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Aspen Group Inc. Intrinsic Value

ASPU

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Choose a model

Each card values Aspen Group a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Set your assumptions

Aspen Group on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.

Years to project

Growth of revenue per share

Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth

Exit P/S

Starts at its own median P/S over five years

Your desired return

Margin of safety

More

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

  1. Today's revenue per share

    Last twelve months

    $2.79

  2. Revenue in 2031

    Grows 18.4% a year for 5 years

    $6.48

  3. Price in 2031

    $6.48 × 0.5 P/S

    $3.24

  4. Worth today

    ÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out

    $2.01

  5. Fair value

    The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year

    $2.01

  6. Buy below

    Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety

    $1.51

Paying $0.20 instead gives 74.9% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$2.01

Expected return

74.9% a year

Future price, 2031

$3.24

Buy below

$1.51

Price 90% below fair valuePrice $0.20, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Aspen Group (ASPU) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Aspen Group's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for ASPU; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Aspen Group's (ASPU) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Aspen Group's fair value is about $2.01 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $2.79 grows about 18.4% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 0.5 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Aspen Group overvalued?+

At $0.20, the price is 90% below that fair value of $2.01, and buying at today's price would return about 74.9% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Aspen Group valuation assume?+

Revenue per share grows about 18.4% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.

What is a good margin of safety for Aspen Group?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $1.51. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

How the market compares: US profitability statistics

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Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in ASPU's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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