Intrinsiqq
Ascendis Pharma A/S logoAscendis Pharma A/SASND
$225.25-0.60%
Ascendis Pharma A/S logo

Ascendis Pharma A/S

ASND

$225.25

-$1.37 (-0.60%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityStrong marginsGrowthAcceleratingCash FlowStrong conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

The business is unprofitable at the operating level (-18.92% margin). The thesis depends entirely on whether and when it reaches sustainable profitability.

What's changing

Revenue up 66.5% YoY with margins expanding 57.7pp.

What deserves caution

Net debt of €256M represents 5.6x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.

Valuation context

18.2x earnings, 40.9x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

+8.8%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap€13.69B
EPS€11.03
P/E18.17
P/FCF40.86
EV/EBITDA49.75
FCF Yield2.4%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF0.8x
52-Week Range
$196.01$277.18

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

€1.05B

▲ +66.5% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

€742M

▲ +49.3% YoY

Op. Margin

25.09%

▲ +57.7pp YoY

ROIC

-11.39%

▲ +20.1pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

€335M

▲ +112.4% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

€350M

▲ +114.8% YoY

Net Debt

€256M

Cash & Equiv.

€616M

3Y CAGR: +141.4%

Continue Research

Is Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND) overvalued?

At a P/E of 18.2 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 40.9, Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND) trades around a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about €243.86 per share, so at €225.25 the stock looks around fair value (8.3% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Ascendis Pharma A/S scores 60/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Ascendis Pharma A/S's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about €243.86 per share for ASND, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around €182.89. At today's €225.25, that puts the stock about 8.3% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Ascendis Pharma A/S a high-quality business?+

Ascendis Pharma A/S scores 60 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 25.1% operating margin and a -11.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Ascendis Pharma A/S a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. ASND currently trades around its estimated intrinsic value and scores 60/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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