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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$191.93
Intrinsic $255.91 · 25% MOS
Current price: $127.56
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Autoliv Inc (ALV) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 14.4% for years 1–5 and 7.2% for years 6–10, anchored to 14.4% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $580M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $255.91 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $191.93, suggesting the stock is currently 50% undervalued against the $127.56 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$580M
Cash & equivalents
$342M
Total debt
$2.3B
Shares outstanding
75M