Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€19.76
Intrinsic €26.35 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Alstom (ALO.XPAR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 16.6% for years 1–5 and 8.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 16.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €324M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €26.35 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €19.76.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€324M
Cash & equivalents
€2.3B
Total debt
€3.6B
Shares outstanding
462M