/
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$3.92
Intrinsic $5.23 · 25% MOS
Current price: $23.71
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Weyerhaeuser Co (WY) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $492M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $5.23 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $3.92, suggesting the stock is currently 83% overvalued against the $23.71 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$492M
Cash & equivalents
$299M
Total debt
$5.1B
Shares outstanding
722M