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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$46.80
Intrinsic $62.40 · 25% MOS
Current price: $12.57
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Vistance Networks, Inc. (VISN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 41.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from the 3-year average of positive free cash flow ($246M) — TTM FCF was negative, this produces an intrinsic value of $62.40 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $46.80, suggesting the stock is currently 272% undervalued against the $12.57 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
TTM FCF is negative ($0). Projecting from a negative base produces nonsensical results, so this model uses the 3-year average of positive FCF ($246M) as the base instead. Treat this valuation as a rough estimate — it assumes a return to historical profitability.
Model inputs
Free Cash Flow (3yr avg)
$246M
Cash & equivalents
$2.5B
Total debt
$66M
Shares outstanding
238M