Intrinsiqq
Ulta Beauty Inc. logoUlta Beauty Inc.ULTA
$606.99+0.68%
Ulta Beauty Inc. logo

Ulta Beauty Inc.

ULTA

$606.99

+$4.09 (+0.68%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthSteady growthCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

12.37% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 24.51%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue grew 9.7%, steady but not accelerating.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 27.58% to 24.51%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.

Valuation context

22.1x earnings, 22.6x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

+15.4%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$25.95B
EPS$27.45
P/E22.11
P/FCF22.58
EV/EBITDA16.57
FCF Yield4.4%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF2.0x
52-Week Range
$450.75$706.82

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$12.96B

▲ +9.7% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$1.21B

▼ -4.0% YoY

Op. Margin

12.46%

▼ -1.5pp YoY

ROIC

24.15%

▼ -3.1pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$1.15B

▲ +10.8% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$1.57B

▲ +12.3% YoY

Net Debt

$2.31B

Cash & Equiv.

$213M

5Y CAGR: +15.0%

5Y CAGR: +10.2%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 24 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 1 Aug 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 28 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Jan. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Ulta Beauty (ULTA) overvalued?

At a P/E of 22.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 22.6, Ulta Beauty (ULTA) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $511.34 per share, so at $606.99 the stock looks overvalued (15.8% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Ulta Beauty scores 51/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Ulta Beauty's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $511.34 per share for ULTA, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $383.50. At today's $606.99, that puts the stock about 15.8% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Ulta Beauty a high-quality business?+

Ulta Beauty scores 51 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 12.5% operating margin and a 24.2% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Ulta Beauty a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. ULTA currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 51/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Retail-Retail Stores, NEC

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in ULTA's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.