Related stocks: Tobacco Products
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
/
Related stocks: Tobacco Products
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$-3.09
Intrinsic $-4.12 · 25% MOS
Current price: $89.99
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $-4.12 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $-3.09, suggesting the stock is currently 103% overvalued against the $89.99 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1M
Cash & equivalents
$192M
Total debt
$294M
Shares outstanding
19M