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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$384.17
Intrinsic $512.22 · 25% MOS
Current price: $615.35
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Teledyne Technologies Inc (TDY) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 7.8% for years 1–5 and 3.9% for years 6–10, anchored to 7.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $512.22 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $384.17, suggesting the stock is currently 38% overvalued against the $615.35 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
Cash & equivalents
$521M
Total debt
$2.5B
Shares outstanding
47M