Constellation Brands, Inc.
and MD&A regarding: our mission and business strategy, including our strategic vision, growth plans, digital acceleration initiatives, and focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet; our focus on upholding our leadership position in the U.S. beer market, growing our high-end imported beer brands through maintenance of leading margins, enhancing our results of operations and operating cash flow…
$138.79
+$6.76 (+5.12%)
Live
29.78% operating margin is above average. ROIC at 10.97%.
Revenue declined 10.5% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
Net debt of $11.11B represents 6.2x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
12.5x earnings, 12.9x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.
Price History
Valuation & Multiples
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$9.21B
▼ -10.5% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$1.92B
▲ +2172.1% YoY
Op. Margin
30.23%
▲ +26.3pp YoY
ROIC
12.27%
▲ +9.6pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$1.84B
▼ -7.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$2.66B
▼ -15.3% YoY
Net Debt
$10.22B
Cash & Equiv.
$99M
5Y CAGR: +1.2%
5Y CAGR: -1.6%
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SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 7 Oct 2026, covering the period ending 31 Aug 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 12 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, live as of 22 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Feb. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.
Is Constellation Brands (STZ) overvalued?
At a P/E of 12.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 12.9, Constellation Brands (STZ) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $126.94 per share, so at $138.79 the stock looks overvalued (8.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Constellation Brands scores 45/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 3.0%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Constellation Brands's fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $126.94 per share for STZ, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $95.21. At today's $138.79, that puts the stock about 8.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Is Constellation Brands a high-quality business?+
Constellation Brands scores 45 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 30.2% operating margin and a 12.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Does Constellation Brands (STZ) pay a dividend, and how much?+
Yes, Constellation Brands pays a regular dividend of about $4.15 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 3.0% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 36.8% of earnings, so the dividend is amply covered by earnings. Constellation Brands has grown the dividend at roughly 5.7% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For STZ's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
Is Constellation Brands a good stock to buy right now?+
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. STZ currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 45/100 on quality (mixed). It also yields about 3.0%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
Related stocks: Beverages
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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