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Serve Robotics Inc. Intrinsic Value

SERV

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Choose a model

Each card values Serve Robotics a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Set your assumptions

Serve Robotics on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.

Years to project

Growth of revenue per share

Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth

Exit P/S

Starts at its industry's median P/S

Your desired return

Margin of safety

More

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

  1. Today's revenue per share

    Last twelve months

    $0.09

  2. Revenue in 2031

    Grows 25.4% a year for 5 years

    $0.28

  3. Price in 2031

    $0.28 × 1.3 P/S

    $0.36

  4. Worth today

    ÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out

    $0.22

  5. Fair value

    The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year

    $0.22

  6. Buy below

    Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety

    $0.17

Paying $2.65 instead gives -32.8% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$0.22

Expected return

-32.8% a year

Future price, 2031

$0.36

Buy below

$0.17

Price 1078% above fair valuePrice $2.65, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Serve Robotics (SERV) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Serve Robotics's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for SERV; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Serve Robotics's (SERV) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Serve Robotics's fair value is about $0.22 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $0.09 grows about 25.4% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 1.3 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Serve Robotics overvalued?+

At $2.65, the price is 1078% above that fair value of $0.22, and buying at today's price would return about -32.8% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Serve Robotics valuation assume?+

Revenue per share grows about 25.4% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise), capped at 20%. The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.

What is a good margin of safety for Serve Robotics?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $0.17. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

How the market compares: US profitability statistics

Peers

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Held by ETFs

SERV is in 14 US ETFs. The largest of them, with SERV's weight in each:

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in SERV's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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