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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$77.79
Intrinsic $103.72 · 25% MOS
Current price: $191.68
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.7% for years 1–5 and 2.4% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $4.3B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $103.72 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $77.79, suggesting the stock is currently 59% overvalued against the $191.68 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$4.3B
Cash & equivalents
$5.3B
Total debt
$7.4B
Shares outstanding
822M