DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$91.42
Intrinsic $121.90 · 25% MOS
Current price: $6.73
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Rapid7, Inc. (RPD) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 28.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $156M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $121.90 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $91.42, suggesting the stock is currently 1258% undervalued against the $6.73 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$156M
Cash & equivalents
$670M
Total debt
$368M
Shares outstanding
67M