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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$70.26
Intrinsic $93.68 · 25% MOS
Current price: $158.48
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Rogers Corp (ROG) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 5.6% for years 1–5 and 2.8% for years 6–10, anchored to 5.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $70M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $93.68 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $70.26, suggesting the stock is currently 56% overvalued against the $158.48 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$70M
Cash & equivalents
$196M
Total debt
$30M
Shares outstanding
18M