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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$55.50
Intrinsic $73.99 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 67.4% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $70M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $73.99 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $55.50.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$70M
Cash & equivalents
$20M
Total debt
$1.4B
Shares outstanding
30M