Choose a model
Each card values Pony AI a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Pony AI on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its own median P/S over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$0.29
Revenue in 2031
Grows 28.0% a year for 5 years
$0.99
Price in 2031
$0.99 × 15.0 P/S
$14.86
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$9.23
Plus dividends
$0.33 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ $0.24
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$9.47
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$7.10
Paying $4.75 instead gives 26.2% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$9.47
Expected return
26.2% a year
Future price, 2031
$14.86
Buy below
$7.10
Price 50% below fair valuePrice $4.75, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Pony AI Inc. ADR (PONY) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Pony AI Inc. ADR's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for PONY; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Pony AI Inc. ADR's (PONY) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Pony AI Inc. ADR's fair value is about $9.47 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $0.29 grows about 28.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 15.0 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Pony AI Inc. ADR overvalued?+
At $4.75, the price is 50% below that fair value of $9.47, and buying at today's price would return about 26.2% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Pony AI Inc. ADR valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 28.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise), capped at 20%. The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for Pony AI Inc. ADR?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $7.10. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
Information Technology Services · Pick stocks to compare with PONY
Held by ETFs
PONY is in 21 US ETFs. The largest of them, with PONY's weight in each:
Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETFAIQ0.26%of the fund
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETFFBCG0.00%of the fund
State Street SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETFKOMP0.12%of the fund
ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETFARKQ1.22%of the fund
- APActivePassive International Equity ETFAPIE0.01%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong?
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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