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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$-10.16
Intrinsic $-13.55 · 25% MOS
Current price: $14.50
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $69M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $-13.55 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $-10.16, suggesting the stock is currently 170% overvalued against the $14.50 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$69M
Cash & equivalents
$156M
Total debt
$4.1B
Shares outstanding
200M