Choose a model
Each card values Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV on earnings: earnings per share grow for a few years, then the stock trades at a normal price-to-earnings multiple.
Years to project
Growth of earnings per share
Earnings per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/E
Starts at the average of its 5-year median P/E, today's and a mature 18
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's earnings per share
Diluted, last twelve months, as filed
Mex$202.99
Earnings in 2031
Grows 13.8% a year for 5 years
Mex$387.42
Price in 2031
Mex$387.42 × 21.5 P/E
Mex$8,329.48
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
Mex$5,171.95
Plus dividends
Mex$33.46 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ Mex$24.75
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
Mex$5,196.71
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
Mex$3,897.53
Paying Mex$4,597.20 instead gives 12.7% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
Mex$5,196.71
Expected return
12.7% a year
Future price, 2031
Mex$8,329.48
Buy below
Mex$3,897.53
Price 12% below fair valuePrice Mex$4,597.20, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Build your own intrinsic value for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR. Start from three cases based on the company's own filings, then change any number to match your view.
The default base case is 85% below today's price. A gap that wide usually comes from unusual cash flow history, such as a jump from a low base or a gap in the reported figures, not from a real bargain or bubble. Check the free cash flow history below and set growth you believe before relying on it.
Conservative
Mex$513.32
89% below the priceof Mex$4,597.20
Buy below Mex$384.99 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Base
Mex$691.87
85% below the priceof Mex$4,597.20
Buy below Mex$518.90 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Optimistic
Mex$885.82
81% below the priceof Mex$4,597.20
Buy below Mex$664.37 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits above all three scenarios. Either the growth inputs are more cautious than the market's, or the price is ahead of the cash flows.
Base free cash flow
Mex$4.63B
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
-5.5%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
24.5%
Growth needed at 8% WACC
Terminal value share
59%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
At a 8.0% discount rate, today's price already assumes 24.5% annual free cash flow growth for ten years. Your base case assumes 2.0%, so the market is paying for growth you are not forecasting.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is -5.5% a year.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR (PAC) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for PAC; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR's (PAC) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR's fair value is about Mex$5,196.71 a share, based on its earnings per share. That assumes earnings per share of Mex$202.99 grows about 13.8% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 21.5 times earnings, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: free cash flow Mex$1,601.18, revenue Mex$6,593.12. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR overvalued?+
At Mex$4,597.20, the price is 12% below that fair value of Mex$5,196.71, and buying at today's price would return about 12.7% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR valuation assume?+
Earnings per share grows about 13.8% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at a default.
What is a good margin of safety for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico SAB de CV ADR?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at Mex$3,897.53. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
Airports & Air Services · Pick stocks to compare with PAC
Held by ETFs
PAC is in 24 US ETFs. The largest of them, with PAC's weight in each:
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETFAVEM0.08%of the fund
iShares Global Infrastructure ETFIGF3.95%of the fund
Dimensional Emerging Core Equity Market ETFDFAE0.06%of the fund
First Trust BuyWrite Income ETFFTHI0.05%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong?
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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