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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$-8.52
Intrinsic $-11.36 · 25% MOS
Current price: $35.84
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Oxford Industries Inc (OXM) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $24M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $-11.36 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $-8.52, suggesting the stock is currently 124% overvalued against the $35.84 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$24M
Cash & equivalents
$9M
Total debt
$592M
Shares outstanding
15M