Choose a model
Each card values Northwest Natural Holding a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Northwest Natural Holding on earnings: earnings per share grow for a few years, then the stock trades at a normal price-to-earnings multiple.
Years to project
Growth of earnings per share
Earnings per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/E
Starts at the average of its 5-year median P/E, today's and a mature 18
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's earnings per share
Diluted, last twelve months, as filed
$2.99
Earnings in 2031
Grows 2.0% a year for 5 years
$3.30
Price in 2031
$3.30 × 17.4 P/E
$57.44
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$35.67
Plus dividends
$10.43 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ $7.88
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$43.54
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$32.66
Paying $51.31 instead gives 5.8% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$43.54
Expected return
5.8% a year
Future price, 2031
$57.44
Buy below
$32.66
Price 18% above fair valuePrice $51.31, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Northwest Natural Holding (NWN) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Northwest Natural Holding's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for NWN; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Northwest Natural Holding's (NWN) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Northwest Natural Holding's fair value is about $43.54 a share, based on its earnings per share. That assumes earnings per share of $2.99 grows about 2.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 17.4 times earnings, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: revenue $44.09, dividends $40.22. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Northwest Natural Holding overvalued?+
At $51.31, the price is 18% above that fair value of $43.54, and buying at today's price would return about 5.8% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Northwest Natural Holding valuation assume?+
Earnings per share grows about 2.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at a default.
What is a good margin of safety for Northwest Natural Holding?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $32.66. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 28 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 6 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 4 Nov 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec.
Peers
Natural Gas Distribution · Pick stocks to compare with NWN
Held by ETFs
NWN is in 86 US ETFs. The largest of them, with NWN's weight in each:
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in NWN's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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