Choose a model
Each card values Sunnova Energy International a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Sunnova Energy International on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its industry's median P/S
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$6.53
Revenue in 2031
Grows 30.0% a year for 5 years
$24.23
Price in 2031
$24.23 × 2.5 P/S
$60.58
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$37.62
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$37.62
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$28.21
Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$37.62
Expected return
Set a buy price
Future price, 2031
$60.58
Buy below
$28.21
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Sunnova Energy International (NOVAQ) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Sunnova Energy International's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for NOVAQ; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Sunnova Energy International's (NOVAQ) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Sunnova Energy International's fair value is about $37.62 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $6.53 grows about 30.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 2.5 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
What growth does the Sunnova Energy International valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 30.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise), capped at 20%. The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.
What is a good margin of safety for Sunnova Energy International?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $28.21. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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