Intrinsiqq
Nokia Oyj logoNokia OyjNOK
€9.31+1.22%
Nokia Oyj logo

Nokia Oyj

NOK

9.31

+0.11 (+1.22%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityThin marginsGrowthModeratingCash FlowThin conversionValuationRichly valued
What stands out

Operating margin is thin at 3.93%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.

What's changing

Revenue grew 3.5%, steady but not accelerating. Margins contracted 4.2pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.

What deserves caution

At 69x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 28% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

69.2x earnings, 100.8x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.

Price History

+132.6%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap€54.00B
EPS€0.13
P/E69.17
P/FCF100.75
EV/EBITDA30.76
FCF Yield1.0%
Div. Yield1.43%
Net Debt/FCF-4.4x
52-Week Range
€3.96€14.80

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

€20.27B

+3.5% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

€716M

-48.6% YoY

Op. Margin

3.40%

-4.2pp YoY

ROIC

2.14%

-2.9pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

€536M

-27.5% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

€1.14B

-23.0% YoY

Net Debt

-€2.35B

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

€6.76B

3Y CAGR: -7.2%

3Y CAGR: +18.8%

Continue Research

Is Nokia Oyj (NOK) overvalued?

At a P/E of 69.2 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 100.8, Nokia Oyj (NOK) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about €2.01 per share, so at €9.31 the stock looks overvalued (78.4% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Nokia Oyj scores 23/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 1.4%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Nokia Oyj's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about €2.01 per share for NOK, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around €1.50. At today's €9.31, that puts the stock about 78.4% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Nokia Oyj a high-quality business?+

Nokia Oyj scores 23 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 3.4% operating margin and a 2.1% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Nokia Oyj (NOK) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Nokia Oyj pays a regular dividend of about €0.13 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 1.4% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 108.0% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. Nokia Oyj has grown the dividend at roughly 203.0% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For NOK's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Nokia Oyj a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. NOK currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 23/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 1.4%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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