Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
CHF 52.28
Intrinsic CHF 69.71 · 25% MOS
Current price: CHF 78.07
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Nestlé S.A. (NESN.XSWX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 5.2% for years 1–5 and 2.6% for years 6–10, anchored to 5.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from CHF 11.0B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of CHF 69.71 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of CHF 52.28, suggesting the stock is currently 33% overvalued against the CHF 78.07 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
CHF 11.0B
Cash & equivalents
CHF 5.9B
Total debt
CHF 57.9B
Shares outstanding
2.6B