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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$7.97
Intrinsic $10.63 · 25% MOS
Current price: $6.56
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Lantronix Inc (LTRX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 19.2% for years 1–5 and 9.6% for years 6–10, anchored to 19.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $8M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $10.63 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $7.97, suggesting the stock is currently 22% undervalued against the $6.56 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$8M
Cash & equivalents
$24M
Total debt
$9M
Shares outstanding
40M