Choose a model
Each card values Lonza Group a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Lonza Group on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its own median P/S over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
CHF 91.76
Revenue in 2031
Grows 5.9% a year for 5 years
CHF 122.22
Price in 2031
CHF 122.22 × 6.6 P/S
CHF 806.63
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
CHF 500.85
Plus dividends
CHF 29.79 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ CHF 22.34
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
CHF 523.19
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
CHF 392.40
Paying CHF 663.19 instead gives 4.8% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
CHF 523.19
Expected return
4.8% a year
Future price, 2031
CHF 806.63
Buy below
CHF 392.40
Price 27% above fair valuePrice CHF 663.19, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Lonza Group (LONN.XSWX) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Lonza Group's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for LONN.XSWX; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Lonza Group's (LONN.XSWX) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Lonza Group's fair value is about CHF 523.19 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of CHF 91.76 grows about 5.9% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 6.6 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Lonza Group overvalued?+
At CHF 663.19, the price is 27% above that fair value of CHF 523.19, and buying at today's price would return about 4.8% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Lonza Group valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 5.9% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for Lonza Group?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at CHF 392.40. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
Diagnostics & Research · Pick stocks to compare with LONN.XSWX
Held by ETFs
LONN.XSWX is in 112 US ETFs. The largest of them, with LONN.XSWX's weight in each:
Vanguard Total International Stock ETFVXUS0.11%of the fund
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETFIEFA0.21%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong?
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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