Kyocera Corporation (KYOCF) DCF Valuation
Every assumption below is yours to change. The defaults are derived from this company's own filing history, not from a house view.
Conservative
¥3,217.36
13597% undervaluedvs ¥23.49
Base
¥3,526.16
14911% undervaluedvs ¥23.49
Optimistic
¥3,864.85
16353% undervaluedvs ¥23.49
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits below all three scenarios. Under these assumptions the stock looks undervalued, which is only as reliable as the growth rates you have entered.
Base free cash flow
¥74.76B
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
-5.3%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
—
No solution in range
Terminal value share
58%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
No growth rate in the tested range reproduces today's price at these assumptions.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is -5.3% a year.
Kyocera (KYOCF) DCF: intrinsic value and margin of safety
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF values Kyocera (KYOCF) at about JPY 4,701.54 per share, or JPY 3,526.16 with a 25% margin of safety. At JPY 23.49 the stock looks undervalued. Every assumption is adjustable below; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Kyocera's (KYOCF) fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of about JPY 4,701.54 per share for KYOCF. It projects recent free cash flow forward at a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate, then discounts those cash flows back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around JPY 3,526.16. The output moves with the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best read as a range, not a single number. You can change every assumption with the sliders on this tab.
Is Kyocera overvalued based on a DCF?+
At JPY 23.49, KYOCF trades below the base-case intrinsic value of about JPY 4,701.54, a 19,915.1% discount to that estimate, so on this model it looks undervalued. A DCF is only one lens: a premium can be justified if the business grows faster or is higher quality than the base case assumes, which is exactly what the sliders let you test.
What growth is priced into Kyocera?+
The base case grows KYOCF's free cash flow at about 2.0% a year before fading, against roughly -5.3% historical free-cash-flow growth. If the price implies growth well above what the company has actually delivered, the market is paying for optimism; if below, expectations are modest. Adjust the growth assumption on this tab to see what the current price is really betting on.
What is a good margin of safety for Kyocera?+
A margin of safety is the discount to intrinsic value you demand before buying, to protect against being wrong on the inputs. Intrinsiqq applies 25% by default, which turns KYOCF's JPY 4,701.54 intrinsic estimate into a JPY 3,526.16 entry. Wider margins suit less predictable businesses; you can set your own on this tab. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-K filed 27 Jun 2018, covering the period ending 31 Mar 2018, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 2 Apr 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 1 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Mar.
Related stocks: Semiconductors & Related Devices
Spot a number that looks wrong?
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.