/
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$184.84
Intrinsic $246.45 · 25% MOS
Current price: $210.69
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Nvidia Corp (NVDA) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 71.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $119.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $246.45 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $184.84, suggesting the stock is currently 12% overvalued against the $210.69 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$119.1B
Cash & equivalents
$13.2B
Total debt
$12.8B
Shares outstanding
24.4B