Choose a model
Each card values Kuehne + Nagel International a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Kuehne + Nagel International on earnings: earnings per share grow for a few years, then the stock trades at a normal price-to-earnings multiple.
Years to project
Growth of earnings per share
Earnings per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/E
Starts at the average of its 5-year median P/E, today's and a mature 18
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's earnings per share
Diluted, last twelve months, as filed
CHF 7.42
Earnings in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
CHF 7.42
Price in 2031
CHF 7.42 × 21.9 P/E
CHF 162.59
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
CHF 100.96
Plus dividends
CHF 30.00 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ CHF 22.74
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
CHF 123.70
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
CHF 92.77
Paying CHF 233.50 instead gives -3.8% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
CHF 123.70
Expected return
-3.8% a year
Future price, 2031
CHF 162.59
Buy below
CHF 92.77
Price 89% above fair valuePrice CHF 233.50, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Build your own intrinsic value for Kuehne + Nagel International AG. Start from three cases based on the company's own filings, then change any number to match your view.
Conservative
CHF 157.93
32% below the priceof CHF 233.50
Buy below CHF 118.45 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Base
CHF 185.68
20% below the priceof CHF 233.50
Buy below CHF 139.26 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Optimistic
CHF 215.82
8% below the priceof CHF 233.50
Buy below CHF 161.87 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits above all three scenarios. Either the growth inputs are more cautious than the market's, or the price is ahead of the cash flows.
Base free cash flow
CHF 1.44B
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
-8.6%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
5.3%
Growth needed at 8% WACC
Terminal value share
59%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
At a 8.0% discount rate, today's price already assumes 5.3% annual free cash flow growth for ten years. Your base case assumes 2.0%, so the market is paying for growth you are not forecasting.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is -8.6% a year.
Kuehne + Nagel International (KNIN.XSWX) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Kuehne + Nagel International's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for KNIN.XSWX; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Kuehne + Nagel International's (KNIN.XSWX) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Kuehne + Nagel International's fair value is about CHF 123.70 a share, based on its earnings per share. That assumes earnings per share of CHF 7.42 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 21.9 times earnings, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: free cash flow CHF 133.84, revenue CHF 136.36, dividends CHF 167.73. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Kuehne + Nagel International overvalued?+
At CHF 233.50, the price is 89% above that fair value of CHF 123.70, and buying at today's price would return about -3.8% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Kuehne + Nagel International valuation assume?+
Earnings per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at a default.
What is a good margin of safety for Kuehne + Nagel International?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at CHF 92.77. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Pick stocks to compare with KNIN.XSWX
Held by ETFs
KNIN.XSWX is in 99 US ETFs. The largest of them, with KNIN.XSWX's weight in each:
Vanguard Total International Stock ETFVXUS0.03%of the fund
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETFIEFA0.05%of the fund
Schwab International Equity ETFSCHF0.04%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong?
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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