Choose a model
Each card values Kodiak AI a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Kodiak AI on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its industry's median P/S
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$0.04
Revenue in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
$0.04
Price in 2031
$0.04 × 1.5 P/S
$0.05
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$0.03
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$0.03
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$0.02
Paying $1.10 instead gives -45.4% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$0.03
Expected return
-45.4% a year
Future price, 2031
$0.05
Buy below
$0.02
Price 3213% above fair valuePrice $1.10, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Kodiak AI (KDK) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Kodiak AI's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for KDK; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Kodiak AI's (KDK) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Kodiak AI's fair value is about $0.03 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $0.04 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 1.5 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Kodiak AI overvalued?+
At $1.10, the price is 3213% above that fair value of $0.03, and buying at today's price would return about -45.4% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Kodiak AI valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.
What is a good margin of safety for Kodiak AI?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $0.02. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design · Pick stocks to compare with KDK
Held by ETFs
KDK is in 5 US ETFs. The largest of them, with KDK's weight in each:
Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETFONEQ0.00%of the fund
State Street SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETFKOMP0.04%of the fund
ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETFARKQ0.92%of the fund
JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETFBBSC0.02%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in KDK's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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